Today is the luckiest day of my life... Or
Today is the worst day of my life...
Ever said these sentences aloud or in the mind??
Of course yes, everyone does it in one or other way. I used to do it when I was a kid. But no longer now.
Do you want to know why?
Well as you know I like doing logical thinking, you must be expecting an answer from me, so here it goes.
When I was a kid I got in touch with the idea of luck because of friends and other people. Me too accepted the idea of luck as there was nothing to counter the idea, it was a dead end, like everything on earth was ending in to luck, but..
When in the maths I read about the concept of probability slowly my thinking started building roads beyond the concept of luck.
What is luck? Simply an occurrence of a favourable event, and what is bad luck? It is occurrence of unfavourable event.
How often they happen? Thy seems almost equally often happening. Then why do we think about luck?
The whole concept of probability and reversion to mean comes in to play when you start thinking about luck. (I got in touch with the concept of reversion to mean much later in life, but as a highschool kid I did observed that there is a mean, I am not luckier or unluckier neither are most of the other people.)
The concept reversion to mean states that if we take a large enough sample of random seeming events then they tend to be around a mean, sometimes they are away from the mean in one direction and sometime in the other direction, but together they all point towards the mean.
That is one may get luckier sometime and unluckier other time but on an average he is neither luckier nor unluckier.
To understand this let us consider a box filled with 100 numbers of white balls and 100 numbers of black coloured balls, all the balls are exactly the same except their colour.
Suppose white balls represent good luck and black balls represent bad luck. So here the mean of good luck and bad luck is one. That is there are equal chances of good luck as well as bad luck. The balls are mixed together and one is asked to draw 10 balls randomly from the box.
So what will you expect? Does our guy draws 5 white and 5 black balls every time?
Of course not, sometime he may draw 5 white and 5 black but other times he may get 4 white and 6 black or 1 white and 9 black or all 10 black (What a bad luck!!! Isn't it??) or 10 white (what a good luck!!!) or sometime even get 10 blacks 10 times in a row if we keep on repeating this experiment.
Now comes the probability in to play,
If there are 100 white and 100 black balls in the box and you are drawing 10 black balls again and again then what are the chances of getting out white balls??
The chances of finding white balls will definitely increase as the number of black balls drawn increases, simply because there are more white balls remaining in the box. That is if more black balls are drawn first then probability of drawing white balls increases.
In other words if you are facing bad luck consistently then your probability of finding good luck increases.
Therefore some wise person have said that, AFTER EVERY DARK NIGHT COMES THE DAWN.
Just recall your own life how much good and bad opportunities were there and which ones you used. You will find that you were presented with equal opportunities but according to the choices made by you, you are currently in the state you are.
The sooner you will accept it the better will be the results.
People get overwhelmed by a stream of bad events and get depressed and or do dumb things, instead just stand your ground, every tornado will pass eventually, just take it easy, new opportunities will be presented, just make proper choice or wait for a good opportunity if there is a possibility of one.
Our policy is, Take it Easy..
Whether the time is good or bad, take it easy, don't feel bad because of bad events or get in to air because of good events, keep your cool, stay grounded.
It works.
Sumit
The POWER is when,
You use ODDS,
To get EVEN.
Today is the worst day of my life...
Ever said these sentences aloud or in the mind??
Of course yes, everyone does it in one or other way. I used to do it when I was a kid. But no longer now.
Do you want to know why?
Well as you know I like doing logical thinking, you must be expecting an answer from me, so here it goes.
When I was a kid I got in touch with the idea of luck because of friends and other people. Me too accepted the idea of luck as there was nothing to counter the idea, it was a dead end, like everything on earth was ending in to luck, but..
When in the maths I read about the concept of probability slowly my thinking started building roads beyond the concept of luck.
What is luck? Simply an occurrence of a favourable event, and what is bad luck? It is occurrence of unfavourable event.
How often they happen? Thy seems almost equally often happening. Then why do we think about luck?
The whole concept of probability and reversion to mean comes in to play when you start thinking about luck. (I got in touch with the concept of reversion to mean much later in life, but as a highschool kid I did observed that there is a mean, I am not luckier or unluckier neither are most of the other people.)
The concept reversion to mean states that if we take a large enough sample of random seeming events then they tend to be around a mean, sometimes they are away from the mean in one direction and sometime in the other direction, but together they all point towards the mean.
That is one may get luckier sometime and unluckier other time but on an average he is neither luckier nor unluckier.
To understand this let us consider a box filled with 100 numbers of white balls and 100 numbers of black coloured balls, all the balls are exactly the same except their colour.
Suppose white balls represent good luck and black balls represent bad luck. So here the mean of good luck and bad luck is one. That is there are equal chances of good luck as well as bad luck. The balls are mixed together and one is asked to draw 10 balls randomly from the box.
So what will you expect? Does our guy draws 5 white and 5 black balls every time?
Of course not, sometime he may draw 5 white and 5 black but other times he may get 4 white and 6 black or 1 white and 9 black or all 10 black (What a bad luck!!! Isn't it??) or 10 white (what a good luck!!!) or sometime even get 10 blacks 10 times in a row if we keep on repeating this experiment.
Now comes the probability in to play,
If there are 100 white and 100 black balls in the box and you are drawing 10 black balls again and again then what are the chances of getting out white balls??
The chances of finding white balls will definitely increase as the number of black balls drawn increases, simply because there are more white balls remaining in the box. That is if more black balls are drawn first then probability of drawing white balls increases.
In other words if you are facing bad luck consistently then your probability of finding good luck increases.
Therefore some wise person have said that, AFTER EVERY DARK NIGHT COMES THE DAWN.
Just recall your own life how much good and bad opportunities were there and which ones you used. You will find that you were presented with equal opportunities but according to the choices made by you, you are currently in the state you are.
The sooner you will accept it the better will be the results.
People get overwhelmed by a stream of bad events and get depressed and or do dumb things, instead just stand your ground, every tornado will pass eventually, just take it easy, new opportunities will be presented, just make proper choice or wait for a good opportunity if there is a possibility of one.
Our policy is, Take it Easy..
Whether the time is good or bad, take it easy, don't feel bad because of bad events or get in to air because of good events, keep your cool, stay grounded.
It works.
Sumit
The POWER is when,
You use ODDS,
To get EVEN.
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